Is BHP Group Limited (BHP) the Best Copper Stock to Buy According to Hedge Funds?

We recently compiled a list of the 8 Best Copper Stocks To Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) stands against the other copper stocks.

Overview of the Copper Supply and Demand

Copper is recognized as a critical metal due to its extensive applications, particularly in electrical wiring and renewable energy infrastructure. Prices of copper reached a record high during the first half of 2024, selling at $5.11 per pound on May 21, 2024. However, the price dropped slightly during the third quarter but remained elevated to its historic rates from the past two years.

READ ALSO: 10 Best Small-Cap Stocks Ready To Explode and 10 Cheap NASDAQ Stocks To Invest In Now.

At the start of Q3, copper was priced at $4.42 per pound. It peaked at $4.65 on July 5 but then declined to a low of $3.95 by August 7. The third quarter ended with prices recovering to $4.50 on September 30.

There are several factors affecting the prices of copper. Firstly, the demand for this metal remains high, largely driven by sectors related to the energy transition, including renewable energy and electric vehicles (EVs). However, this demand coincides with a slowdown in the Chinese real estate sector, which is traditionally a major consumer of refined copper. Regardless of the challenges in the real estate market in China, the global demand for copper saw a slight increase of 2.5% in the first half of 2024. The growth was driven by notable demand from China of around 2.7% while other regions also witnessed demand growth of around 2%.

However, despite high consumption, the supply side outpaced the demand. According to a report by the International Copper Study Group (ICSG), there was a surplus of 535,000 metric tons (MT) through the first eight months of 2024. The global copper mine production remained elevated, increasing by 2% to reach 14.86 million MT from January to August 2024. Chile’s Escondida and Collahuasi mines remained key contributors while operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Indonesia reported 11% and 22% production growth, respectively. In addition to raw copper refined metal production also witnessed a 5% increase driven by expansion in China and the launching of new facilities in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

According to a report by Investing News Network, analysts believe that the primary reason behind higher prices during the first half of 2024 was not the fundamental supply-demand play, but was led by speculative investment. Analysts back this sentiment on the assumption that market participants would have taken a cautious approach following substantial gains in Q2 resulting in fluctuating prices of copper.

Looking ahead, the ongoing struggles in China’s real estate sector have dampened overall demand for copper. The government's efforts to stimulate the market through various initiatives to boost housing projects are expected to revive global demand further. Moreover, energy transition efforts also continue to fuel demand for copper, the International Energy Forum estimates that approximately 1.1 new mines will need to come online annually until 2050 just to maintain current demand levels.

Our Methodology

To compile the list of the 8 best copper stocks to buy according to hedge funds, we used the Finviz stock screener and our previous articles. Using the two sources we curated an aggregated list of copper stocks sorted by market capitalization. Next, we ranked these companies based on the number of hedge fund holders as of Q3 2024, sourced from Insider Monkey’s database. The list is ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds.

Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

An aerial view of a mining operation in action, with large trucks and yellow diggers.

BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 22

BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) is a major Australian resources company that specializes in mining and producing various essential commodities. The company operates through three main segments including Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. The materials extracted by the company are used in key industries including steel for construction, copper for renewable energy technologies, nickel for batteries, and much more. It has a global reach with operations in Australia, the Americas, Europe, and Asia, with significant mining sites such as Olympic Dam and Escondida.

Copper remains one of the key assets of BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP). During the fiscal first quarter of 2025, the company produced 476 kilotonnes of copper, which was up 4% year-over-year. Escondida, which is one of the world's largest copper mines remained one of the key contributors to its copper production, its production was up 11% year-over-year, mainly due to a higher concentration of feed grade and improved recoveries.

While copper production is already growing, management has been busy improving its portfolio further. During the quarter, BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) announced a 50/50 joint venture with Lundin Mining in Argentina to advance a major copper discovery, considered to be one of the most significant in decades. Moreover, in Canada, its Jansen Stage 1 potash project is 58% complete, with the first production expected in two years. Looking ahead, management believes that its commodity demand will increase substantially due to the monetary easing in China to stimulate economic growth. It is one of the best copper stocks to buy according to hedge funds.

Overall BHP ranks 7th on our list of the best copper stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of BHP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BHP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

 

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.

 

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

By Matt Earle

Matthew Earle is the Founder of MiningFeeds. In 2005, Matt founded MiningNerds.com to provide data and information to the mining investment community. This site was merged with Highgrade Review to form MiningFeeds. Matt has a B.Sc. degree with a minor in geology from the University of Toronto.

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